Robinsons workload will dramatically decrease this season, and drafters arent taking that into account as much as they should. Take Carter later as a committee back with some possible upside, but he's being overvalued by drafters right now. Drew Brees is arguably the best screen game quarterback in NFL history. The final reason why Jerome Bettis is the most overrated RB of all time is because of the offensive line he ran behind. most overrated running backs of all time. With an almost entirely new coaching staff, quarterback and receivers, it is difficult to trust that Swift will be worth his asking price. James Brimacombe: Once Kenyan Drake was out of the picture, we shot Edmonds up the draft board naturally. Jan 26 . They traded up in the draft to select Javonte Williams and, without the large contract, may have already released the former Charger. His fantasy value came in catching 59 receptions, which won't happen in Arthur Smith's offense that doesn't throw to the tailbacks much. With McKissic back taking over passing down duties and Brian Robinson Jr possibly taking over red zone opportunities, Gibson is being overvalued in fantasy drafts. J.D. Barry Sanders is easily the best ever. For example, take Imagine Dragons and Maroon 5, both very accomplished. Jason Wood: We all want Dobbins to be an every-down workhorse. Sigmund Bloom: Johnson was still in line to start after he took a pay cut to stay with the Texans, but then the team added Phillip Lindsay after he and the Broncos parted ways, which embroils Johnson in a frustrating committee backfield in an offense that is likely to be among the league's worst. If Johnson is the starter, he is probably a value where he is being drafted, but I'm not taking him at his current cost without some reassuring news about his role in the coming weeks. Now, if the right-back fully lived up to his potential, then he could have been a Man City great. Terrell Davis, Edgerrin James, Reggie Bush, Rashard Mendenhall, Jamaal Charles, and recently, Dalvin Cook all took over a season of play to return to form if they did at all. The only defense in that group to finish above the bottom quartile in Football Outsiders' rush defense DVOA metric was Green Bay, who allowed the seventh-most fantasy points per game to enemy running backs last season. There are too many risk factors to comfortably draft Ekeler as a No. He was used more as a receiver than anything. But the Ravens are a Super Bowl contender and won't veer from the system that's gotten them to the peak. It looked like Williams would consolidate the lead role in the offseason. Projections, Get The Most Out Of Your Najee Harris, Pittsburgh | Consensus Rankings RB17 | Consensus Projections RB15. In 2019, his last full season, Cohen averaged 5.8 yards per catch and 4.4 yards per target -- terrible numbers for a third-down back. Overall: 98 and 96. The new coaching staff is inexperienced (second-youngest in the NFL), the system is unproven, the quarterback will gobble up a ton of rushing yards and touchdowns, and the front office has added running back depth aggressively in the offseason. Andy Hicks: The Broncos dont seem overly excited to use Melvin Gordon III this year. Anthony Amico: The new regime for the Raiders is not particularly reassuring of Jacobs' role with the team. Kareem Hunt, Cleveland | Consensus Rankings RB21 | Consensus Projections RB22. Cohen is strictly limited to passing-down work, and the numbers suggest that he isn't outstanding in that role either. Although the rookie saw an uptick in usage throughout his first season, he managed to eclipse 66% of his teams snaps just once. Additionally, Brandon Bolden -- a member of Josh McDaniels' Patriot teams -- is with the club. Think about that for a moment. Before his 2020 campaign, McKissic had never rushed for more than 205 yards in a season. I just see way too much downside to take a risk on lightning striking twice. 2022/07/02 . Jamal Lewis 18. Brown has more power and better acceleration and change-of-direction quickness than Gaskin, who is the better receiver. Tony Dorsett 12. Ryan Hester: He might not keep his job, his offense probably wont be great, hes not explosive, and hes on the wrong side of the running back career arc. There is no other way to explain a mid-range RB3 price when he is in one of the worst possible situations in Houston. Chad Parsons: Sanders stands out in the mid-teens of the running back draft pecking order most with his odds of being a high-impact option. Gordon is a massive red flag at his ADP. Sigmund Bloom: Swift is surely more likely than Jamaal Williams to be the hot hand in the Detroit backfield, but Swift's ADP is too high for any back that has to rely on the hot hand approach to get the majority of the volume in the backfield. If you're optimistic about the Lions running game, take Williams at a deep discount from Swift's highly aspirational price tag. In 2012, Adrian Peterson ran for a near record-breaking 2,097 yards.. Davis has changed teams five times in the last three seasons. But, man, there are all sorts of asterisks to add to that description. Clyde Edwards-Helaire, Kansas City | Consensus Rankings RB15 | Consensus Projections RB17. However, James Robinson is a better runner than Etienne at this point. Phil Alexander: Hunt finished last season as the RB10 in PPR scoring, but his cumulative stats were buoyed by a four-game stint as Cleveland's starter when Nick Chubb was out with an MCL sprain. While 3,000 hits is nothing to scoff at, his place as an. WHO ARE THE MOST OVERRATED FANTASY FOOTBALL RUNNING BACKS? Whenever a new coaching group comes in, especially an inexperienced one, there is always the risk that players with a high fantasy price underachieve. Should drafters trust the first 25 games of his career where he was a compiler with minimal ceiling or the final six games against bad defenses in 2020? 1 cornerstone. 1 Barry Sanders Barry Sanders is a former American football running back who spent his entire professional career with the Detroit Lions of the National Football League. Therefore, we asked our staff to look through the Top 150 and identify players that should underperform their draft position. Austin Ekeler, LA Chargers | Consensus Rankings RB7 | Consensus Projections RB7. The 39 Most Overrated Bands Of All-Time While they might have some catchy tunes, some bands are really overrated. Kareem Hunt, Cleveland | Consensus Rankings RB22 | Consensus Projections RB24. Brown should have a role, most likely on early downs and at the goal-line, which would sink Gaskins chances of living up to his ADP. John Riggins 19. The Commanders made it a priority of theirs to bring back J.D. His primary use has been as an excellent pass-catching back. There isnt much to like here. Add in the fact that offense is unlikely to provide as many goal-line chances as the other high-end RB1s, and Kamara has plenty of factors going against him. Gaskin was a revelation versus his cost a year ago but is a buyer beware in 2021. 20 20. His current draft price is almost his upside. Andrew Davenport: Montgomery was the 26th-ranked PPR running back in points per game at 12.2 a contest through nine games last year. Subscription, Early-March Top 10 Defensive Back IDP Rankings, 5 RBs to Buy In Dynasty Before NFL Free Agency. But then he missed a game, the Bears had a bye, and he finished at a torrid pace of 25.7 points per game as the overall RB1 from Weeks 12 to 17. Here's our list of the greatest 30 running backs in NFL history. When I was comparing Bettis stats to the the 3 RBs I mentioned above, I saw that Bettis was highly overrated. Daniel Jones was one of the most uninspiring quarterbacks in the league last year. McKissic on your fantasy squad, but his outlier of a 2020 season is going to cause some to reach for him heading into 2021. Jordan McNamara: Like Gaskin, David Johnson is in a cloudy situation after Philip Lindsay drew the starting role in Houston in week 1. Cohen is not even a projected injury-away auto-start fantasy option heading into training camp. Jason Wood: Ekeler can single-handedly carry a fantasy team for a week or two. Scoring at least once in 9 games (16 gms total) yields a 56% chance of a score in each game. Swift relied heavily on touchdown production for his fantasy numbers. At present, I'm avoiding Gaskin because I do not trust the role, especially ahead of projected starters like Mike Davis and other players with higher upside like Travis Etienne. Gaskin may be the top option for now, but that could change with a strong outing from veteran Malcolm Brown or Salvon Ahmed. In addition, Antonio Gibson finished the year banged up and ceding snaps to McKissic. Saquon Barkley, NY Giants | Consensus Rankings RB4 | Consensus Projections RB5. The problem is it never really felt like we stopped moving Edmonds up the board even after the signing of James Conner. This three-headed committee with a healthy Jones is bad news for Fournette and means he is way overvalued at current ADP. I understand the upside, but I don't want to take a huge miss if I'm drafting in Week 1. With talented guys like Brady, Manning, Brees, Rodgers. Lambertville, Michigan 48144. most overrated running backs of all time(734) 854-2000 At times he looked like the future back Detroit has been looking for this century. Is he more talented than Melvin Gordon III at this point in their respective careers? By the season's end, Mike Davis will be a case of "I knew it," but the guy who pushes him down or out is pure guesswork at this stage. The Steelers were 23rd in red zone attempts per game in 2020 and were ranked as having the fourth-worst offensive line ahead of the 2021 season by Pro Football Focus. Kevin Coleman: Antonio Gibsons value took a hit this offseason. That has shown to be largely untrue so far in camp as Williams and Gordon have been splitting first-team reps nearly 50-50 until Gordon has missed time with a foot injury. It is also quite possible that Gordon isn't even on the team by the time Week 1 rolls around. Combine a true committee situation with a quarterback who racks up 1,000 yards and a handful of scores, and you have a ceiling on Dobbins that won't be unlocked without a rash of injuries. The team likes fourth-round pick Zamir White and passing down back Ameer Abdullah, and Kenyan Drake is still on the roster, so Jacobs is going to have trouble being consistent enough to merit an every-week RB2 start. But drafting him as a high-upside No. Marshall Faulk 7. Given Russell Wilson's historical propensity to score rushing touchdowns in goal-line situations, it's hard to get overly excited about Williams, particularly in PPR formats. 1 Tom Brady Thomas Edward Patrick Brady, Jr., is an American football quarterback for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers of the National Football League. Jonathan Taylor, Indianapolis | Consensus Rankings RB8 | Consensus Projections RB7. He also is a touchdown liability -- he's scored 5, 6, and 4 touchdowns in three of his four seasons (11 the other season), which had led to finishing outside the Top 25 each of those years. Melvin Gordon III, Denver | Consensus Rankings RB28 | Consensus Projections RB29. Unfortunately, Dobbins is on a team with an elite rushing quarterback in Lamar Jackson, who will always cap Dobbins' upside in total carries and goal-line looks. The Top Ten 1 David Beckham David Robert Joseph Beckham is (born 2 May 1975) is an English former professional footballer, the current president & co-owner of Inter Miami CF and co-owner of Salford City.. Johnson was once a big name at the running back position and is still getting drafted based on that name and past production. Edgerrin James 17. Sigmund Bloom: Jacobs' ADP would be justified and reasonable if the Raiders hadn't added Kenyan Drake, but they did. Gordon's arrow is pointing down for 2021, and he could be marginalized as the season goes on because the team also likes free agent signing Mike Boone. Drafting running backs on the downside of their career, on bad offenses, in a platoon situation, is fraught with peril. Jonathan Morris: Gibson was already someone I was worried about getting enough volume to be drafted at his current ADP. When Melvin Gordon III re-signed, many dismissed him as purely a backup player. Even if Winston wins the competition and keeps the New Orleans passing game afloat, Kamara will have a hard time repeating last year's 21 total touchdowns. Pittsburghs front five looks nothing like last years group. David Johnson, Houston | Consensus Rankings RB27 | Consensus Projections RB31. Chase Edmonds, Arizona | Consensus Rankings RB25 | Consensus Projections RB23. Victoria Geary: We should not steer clear of Harris completely for the 2021 season, but we should lower our expectations for a locked-and-loaded RB1 finish. James Brimacombe: I view Melvin Gordon III this season a lot like I viewed Leonard Fournette in Jacksonville last offseason. Ryan Hester: Short of Taysom Hill (if he wins the job), this whole offense is an avoid for fantasy football right now. Andy Hicks: When looking at the Falcons backfield, it is clear there is no one currently there to challenge Mike Davis to start the season. We've seen running backs repeatedly return from severe knee injuries; very seldom do they return the following year and have a memorable fantasy season. Saquon Barkley, NY Giants | Consensus Rankings RB8 | Consensus Projections RB10. Emmitt Smith 4. David Johnson, Houston | Consensus Rankings RB39 | Consensus Projections RB47. History has shown us that Harris's ADP will likely move into Round 2 or 3 as the next few months pass. He feasted on unsustainable opportunities and a soft schedule. J.D. Projecting a fourth-round pick to take over the backfield would be fine if there was evidence that this was happening. Michael Carter, NY Jets | Consensus Rankings RB37 | Consensus Projections RB36. His best year came in 2011 when he ran for 10 touchdowns and 1,047 yards, but other than that he didn't do much else. Daniel Jones was one of the most uninspiring quarterbacks in the league last year. Weve seen flashes of Raheem Mostert over the last couple of years feasting in this offense, but its sporadic and challenging to predict. The additions of Mike Boone and Javonte Williams haven't done anything to dispel this idea. Dillon a lot, and reports from OTAs have been promising. But after he sat a game due to injury, the Bears' lead runner came out hot after their bye, and he finished at a torrid pace of 25.7 points per game as the overall RB1 from Weeks 12 to 17. However, I would ask - where is the upside to tilt a league here? Its almost always the other way around for top tier RBs. He's never carried the ball more than 132 times in a season. The team didn't improve a problem defensive line. There are plenty of clarified RB1 types later in the draft to avoid taking the variable shot on Williams. Gordon has always been a runner that needs a large workload to produce fantasy stats. There is also the slight concern that he will need some ramp-up time to fully be healed from his ACL tear from a season ago. Every NFL team's most overrated player of all time Jarrett Bailey 12/21/2021 180K donated to doctor who preformed 10-year-old girl's abortion to help with legal costs, security. "Matthew Berry, ESPN. Myles Gaskin, Miami | Consensus Rankings RB24 | Consensus Projections RB22. Jim Brown Jim Brown spent a little less than a decade playing for the Cleveland Browns between 1957 and 1965, but that was enough time to prove he's likely the greatest running back to ever play the game and one of the greatest NFL players of all time. This is more important for Barkley than most backs because he relies on his immense gifts more than most backs. Clyde Edwards-Helaire was used as a space player last year, and his lack of a red-zone presence placed a ceiling on his fantasy value. Sigmund Bloom: One year after the signing of Gordon indicated a lack of faith in Phillip Lindsay -- that bore out with Lindsay being allowed to leave in free agency this offseason -- the Broncos moved up in the second round to take Javonte Williams, indicating a lack of faith in Gordon. Pat Fitzmaurice: The appeal is that he's an inexpensive lead back. Nyheim Hines is one of the premier pass-catching options, and Marlon Mack's health is a wildcard in the Colts' backfield rotation. Gordon was adequate last year, but that was almost purely on volume. David Johnson 's fantasy fortunes have been a roller coaster ride over the past three seasons. They will be pass-dominant inside the five-yard line, which doesn't help Edwards-Helaire's fantasy stock. Gary Davenport: Drafting an RB1 based on wishful thinking isn't an ideal strategy, yet Williams keeps getting picked inside the top-12 at his position. The Ravens view Gus Edwards and Dobbins as co-starters who are both vital cogs, and the front office rewarded Edwards with a new contract supporting his role. History and time have helped make Perry one of the most overrated defensive players of all time. Jason Wood: Sanders is talented, and when healthy, was productive under former head coach Doug Pederson. Give me Chris Carson or Josh Jacobs in a similar draft range with stronger probabilities to hit as a top-10 option. There are no guarantees he fits with what Atlanta wants to do or whether he has the endurance to handle a workload after last year's use. His career YPC was 3.9. If you look at Bettis total career marks, you will see that he is 5th on the all time rushing yards list and 10th in TDs. The addition of James Conner, plus the knowledge that Kyler Murray could steal goal-line carries, also adds a bit of skepticism. Ben Cummins: Henrys past two monster years were with offensive coordinator Arthur Smith, the head coach in Atlanta. The Top Ten. Marcus Allen 15. There's just not enough upside here to justify taking Johnson anywhere near his ADP and no expectation of consistency in Johnson's usage or the Texans' ability to move the ball week to week. Detroit signed Jamaal Williams to take the heavy work and kicked the tires on Todd Gurley before declining his addition. J.K. Dobbins, Baltimore | Consensus Rankings RB18 | Consensus Projections RB19. Hes the favorite for running back targets, but the offense doesnt really throw to the running backs. This is exactly what the Steelers tried to do by selecting Najee Harris in the first round in the NFL Draft. The flip side of succeeding with value players is failing with overvalued players. However, with Smith out of town, gunslinger Ryan Fitzpatrick now under center, and sophomore running back Antonio Gibson expected to step up, McKissic isnt someone that will have much value in most fantasy leagues. Lets take a look at the average Jerome Bettis season: 277 carries, 1051 yards, 3.9 YPC, 7 TDs. Chad Parsons: Travis Etienne and Carlos Hyde were both chosen additions by the new Jaguars regime with either Round 1 pedigree (Etienne) or a productive NFL profile (Hyde). The current regime did not select Robinson. So what's the concern? Avoid. The first thing that pops out at us is that Jerome Bettis 3.9 YPC is a good deal lower than the offensive lines mark of 4.29 (ADY). It seems the case that he is being drafted well above his upside. He showed elite promise in his rookie year and followed it up with a top 10 season despite a high ankle sprain limiting his ascension. I'm out. The team added Brian Robinson Jr Jr. on day two of the draft while retaining J.D. The uncertainty of Fournette's touch volume will make it hard to start him with confidence throughout the season, so a late-sixth-round ADP seems steep.